We test whether clues such as “above trend” or “busy trading” were followed by better or worse returns. These results never change a stock recommendation.
Loading current conclusion
Replaying the recorded timing tests and five-year price history. These measurements are evidence only—they never change a score, conviction, or recommendation.
Simple answer
The finished live tests do not show a dependable advantage. Use these clues only as price context.
390 5-day · 230 10-day · 0 20-day · 0 40-day · 0 60-day tests finished
No live timing edge is established yet. The live buckets remain below the minimum effective sample across the matured 5/10-session tests, so timing stays descriptive rather than predictive.
Records cannot be rewritten · saved through Sep 9, 2026
518 saved daily readings across 33 companies from Aug 17, 2026 through Sep 9, 2026.
For a negative Idea, a falling price counts as moving in the expected direction. For a positive Idea, a rising price counts. Companies without a saved direction use the ordinary rising-price view.
The original records remain visible, but they no longer affect the result. Tests saved after the calculation was fixed are unaffected.
No live result has reached 20 trading days yet. A verdict begins only after it does.
29,311 checks · 31 companies · 5 years
This older check replays past prices for the companies tracked today. It is useful context, but it is weaker than the real tests above because failed or delisted companies may be missing.
TickerYou replayed today's five-year price history one day at a time, using only prices that would already have existed on each day. Three limits matter: prices are split-adjusted today, not necessarily as seen then; only the price-derived lenses (entry, volume) and the index regime exist here — catalysts, reaction, conviction and sector were never stored historically and are not invented; and the universe is the names TickerYou tracks today, which tilts it toward names that did well (survivorship). Read it as: within this universe, did these price patterns precede better or worse 20-day returns?
Did stocks that had already moved far do worse afterward?
| Clue | Times seen | Approx. separate tests | Average return | Vs other tracked stocks | Moved as expected | Average worst drop | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price had moved far | 7,986 | 48 | +2.6% | -0.3pp | 57% | -5.9% | No dependable advantage |
| Price move was near normal | 8,455 | 49 | +2.8% | -0.3pp | 59% | -5.5% | No dependable advantage |
| Price had moved very far | 5,725 | 48 | +3.6% | +0.7pp | 56% | -7.8% | No dependable advantage |
| Price had not moved far | 6,525 | 48 | +3.4% | +0.1pp | 57% | -7.0% | No dependable advantage |
Did unusually busy trading tell us anything useful?
| Clue | Times seen | Approx. separate tests | Average return | Vs other tracked stocks | Moved as expected | Average worst drop | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trading was busy | 2,358 | 40 | +3.9% | +0.6pp | 59% | -6.5% | No dependable advantage |
| Trading was normal | 22,725 | 49 | +3.0% | +0.0pp | 58% | -6.3% | No dependable advantage |
| Trading was quiet | 3,076 | 41 | +2.2% | -0.6pp | 53% | -7.2% | No dependable advantage |
| Trading was very busy | 532 | 17 | +4.2% | +0.9pp | 57% | -6.7% | Not enough examples |
All stocks share the same broad market on a given day, so this clue usually says little about which one will do better.
| Clue | Times seen | Approx. separate tests | Average return | Vs other tracked stocks | Moved as expected | Average worst drop | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| downtrend · calm | 1,654 | 2 | +6.0% | +0.0pp | 68% | -6.6% | Not enough examples |
| downtrend · turbulent | 2,766 | 4 | +4.7% | +0.0pp | 61% | -7.5% | Not enough examples |
| uptrend · calm | 23,555 | 40 | +2.7% | +0.0pp | 56% | -6.2% | No dependable advantage |
| uptrend · turbulent | 716 | 1 | +1.9% | +0.0pp | 52% | -7.3% | Not enough examples |
| Clue | Times seen | Approx. separate tests | Average return | Vs other tracked stocks | Moved as expected | Average worst drop | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| extended + elevated | 599 | 19 | +2.9% | +0.1pp | 59% | -5.8% | Not enough examples |
| extended + normal | 6,384 | 48 | +2.6% | -0.4pp | 57% | -5.8% | No dependable advantage |
| extended + quiet | 881 | 23 | +2.4% | -0.3pp | 53% | -6.6% | Not enough examples |
| extended + surging | 122 | 5 | +4.2% | +0.8pp | 57% | -5.8% | Not enough examples |
| neutral + elevated | 584 | 19 | +3.9% | +0.8pp | 64% | -5.4% | Not enough examples |
| neutral + normal | 6,905 | 48 | +2.8% | -0.3pp | 59% | -5.4% | No dependable advantage |
| neutral + quiet | 860 | 24 | +2.2% | -0.8pp | 53% | -6.4% | Not enough examples |
| neutral + surging | 106 | 4 | +1.9% | -0.7pp | 52% | -6.7% | Not enough examples |
| stretched + elevated | 526 | 18 | +4.2% | +1.4pp | 52% | -8.3% | Not enough examples |
| stretched + normal | 4,280 | 47 | +3.9% | +0.9pp | 57% | -7.6% | No dependable advantage |
| stretched + quiet | 743 | 23 | +1.5% | -1.2pp | 51% | -8.4% | Not enough examples |
| stretched + surging | 176 | 7 | +4.3% | +0.8pp | 53% | -7.9% | Not enough examples |
| unextended + elevated | 649 | 18 | +4.6% | +0.3pp | 61% | -6.7% | Not enough examples |
| unextended + normal | 5,156 | 47 | +3.3% | +0.1pp | 56% | -6.9% | No dependable advantage |
| unextended + quiet | 592 | 18 | +2.6% | -0.2pp | 55% | -7.9% | Not enough examples |
| unextended + surging | 128 | 5 | +6.1% | +2.4pp | 67% | -5.7% | Not enough examples |
| Clue | Times seen | Approx. separate tests | Average return | Vs other tracked stocks | Moved as expected | Average worst drop | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| extended + downtrend · calm | 327 | 2 | +7.3% | -0.5pp | 72% | -5.8% | Not enough examples |
| extended + downtrend · turbulent | 509 | 4 | +4.8% | -0.2pp | 62% | -7.3% | Not enough examples |
| extended + uptrend · calm | 6,912 | 40 | +2.3% | -0.3pp | 56% | -5.7% | No dependable advantage |
| extended + uptrend · turbulent | 238 | 1 | +1.0% | -1.2pp | 54% | -6.8% | Not enough examples |
| neutral + downtrend · calm | 449 | 2 | +5.2% | -0.4pp | 71% | -5.4% | Not enough examples |
| neutral + downtrend · turbulent | 732 | 4 | +3.2% | -0.7pp | 58% | -6.9% | Not enough examples |
| neutral + uptrend · calm | 7,079 | 40 | +2.7% | -0.2pp | 59% | -5.4% | No dependable advantage |
| neutral + uptrend · turbulent | 195 | 1 | -0.2% | -1.3pp | 40% | -7.4% | Not enough examples |
| stretched + downtrend · calm | 169 | 2 | +6.7% | +0.4pp | 64% | -8.0% | Not enough examples |
| stretched + downtrend · turbulent | 250 | 4 | +2.8% | -0.7pp | 54% | -9.5% | Not enough examples |
| stretched + uptrend · calm | 5,215 | 40 | +3.5% | +0.7pp | 55% | -7.7% | No dependable advantage |
| stretched + uptrend · turbulent | 91 | 1 | +9.2% | +5.5pp | 67% | -5.8% | Not enough examples |
| unextended + downtrend · calm | 709 | 2 | +5.8% | +0.4pp | 64% | -7.4% | Not enough examples |
| unextended + downtrend · turbulent | 1,275 | 4 | +6.0% | +0.6pp | 64% | -7.5% | Not enough examples |
| unextended + uptrend · calm | 4,349 | 39 | +2.3% | -0.1pp | 53% | -6.7% | No dependable advantage |
| unextended + uptrend · turbulent | 192 | 1 | +1.6% | +0.1pp | 56% | -8.4% | Not enough examples |
| Clue | Times seen | Approx. separate tests | Average return | Vs other tracked stocks | Moved as expected | Average worst drop | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elevated + downtrend · calm | 154 | 2 | +8.2% | +2.4pp | 74% | -5.3% | Not enough examples |
| elevated + downtrend · turbulent | 262 | 3 | +6.2% | +0.0pp | 69% | -7.3% | Not enough examples |
| elevated + uptrend · calm | 1,911 | 33 | +3.2% | +0.5pp | 57% | -6.5% | No dependable advantage |
| elevated + uptrend · turbulent | 31 | 0 | +6.7% | +4.7pp | 74% | -5.6% | Not enough examples |
| normal + downtrend · calm | 1,352 | 2 | +5.9% | -0.3pp | 67% | -6.7% | Not enough examples |
| normal + downtrend · turbulent | 2,063 | 4 | +4.4% | +0.0pp | 60% | -7.6% | Not enough examples |
| normal + uptrend · calm | 18,755 | 40 | +2.7% | +0.0pp | 57% | -6.1% | No dependable advantage |
| normal + uptrend · turbulent | 555 | 1 | +1.4% | -0.6pp | 51% | -7.6% | Not enough examples |
| quiet + downtrend · calm | 120 | 1 | +4.6% | +0.1pp | 65% | -7.5% | Not enough examples |
| quiet + downtrend · turbulent | 397 | 4 | +5.5% | -0.3pp | 61% | -7.1% | Not enough examples |
| quiet + uptrend · calm | 2,440 | 34 | +1.5% | -0.8pp | 51% | -7.3% | No dependable advantage |
| quiet + uptrend · turbulent | 119 | 1 | +2.2% | +0.7pp | 54% | -6.5% | Not enough examples |
| surging + downtrend · calm | 28 | 1 | +5.3% | +0.8pp | 64% | -7.0% | Not enough examples |
| surging + downtrend · turbulent | 44 | 1 | +6.1% | +2.0pp | 61% | -7.0% | Not enough examples |
| surging + uptrend · calm | 449 | 14 | +3.8% | +0.6pp | 56% | -6.7% | Not enough examples |
| surging + uptrend · turbulent | 11 | 0 | +9.7% | +6.4pp | 55% | -4.2% | Not enough examples |
| Clue type | Clue | Days | Times seen | Vs other tracked stocks | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| price vs trend | Price had moved far | 5 | 8,057 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price had moved far | 10 | 8,032 | -0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price had moved far | 20 | 7,986 | -0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price had moved far | 40 | 7,856 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend | Price had moved far | 60 | 7,719 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend | Price move was near normal | 5 | 8,642 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price move was near normal | 10 | 8,589 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price move was near normal | 20 | 8,455 | -0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price move was near normal | 40 | 8,239 | -0.8pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend | Price move was near normal | 60 | 8,078 | -1.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend | Price had moved very far | 5 | 5,788 | +0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price had moved very far | 10 | 5,769 | +0.4pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price had moved very far | 20 | 5,725 | +0.7pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price had moved very far | 40 | 5,643 | +1.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend | Price had moved very far | 60 | 5,539 | +2.0pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend | Price had not moved far | 5 | 6,669 | +0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price had not moved far | 10 | 6,611 | -0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price had not moved far | 20 | 6,525 | +0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend | Price had not moved far | 40 | 6,333 | +0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend | Price had not moved far | 60 | 6,115 | +0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity | Trading was busy | 5 | 2,389 | +0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was busy | 10 | 2,377 | +0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was busy | 20 | 2,358 | +0.6pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was busy | 40 | 2,321 | +0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity | Trading was busy | 60 | 2,275 | +0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity | Trading was normal | 5 | 23,115 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was normal | 10 | 22,979 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was normal | 20 | 22,725 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was normal | 40 | 22,221 | -0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity | Trading was normal | 60 | 21,730 | -0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity | Trading was quiet | 5 | 3,118 | -0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was quiet | 10 | 3,112 | -0.4pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was quiet | 20 | 3,076 | -0.6pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was quiet | 40 | 3,001 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity | Trading was quiet | 60 | 2,934 | +0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity | Trading was very busy | 5 | 534 | +0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity | Trading was very busy | 10 | 533 | +1.0pp | Small possible pattern |
| trading activity | Trading was very busy | 20 | 532 | +0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity | Trading was very busy | 40 | 528 | +0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity | Trading was very busy | 60 | 512 | +1.6pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · calm | 5 | 1,654 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · calm | 10 | 1,654 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · calm | 20 | 1,654 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · calm | 40 | 1,654 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · calm | 60 | 1,654 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · turbulent | 5 | 2,766 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · turbulent | 10 | 2,766 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · turbulent | 20 | 2,766 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · turbulent | 40 | 2,766 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | downtrend · turbulent | 60 | 2,766 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | uptrend · calm | 5 | 24,020 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| market conditions | uptrend · calm | 10 | 23,865 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| market conditions | uptrend · calm | 20 | 23,555 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| market conditions | uptrend · calm | 40 | 22,935 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | uptrend · calm | 60 | 22,315 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | uptrend · turbulent | 5 | 716 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | uptrend · turbulent | 10 | 716 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | uptrend · turbulent | 20 | 716 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | uptrend · turbulent | 40 | 716 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| market conditions | uptrend · turbulent | 60 | 716 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + elevated | 5 | 604 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + elevated | 10 | 602 | -0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + elevated | 20 | 599 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + elevated | 40 | 595 | -0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + elevated | 60 | 580 | -0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + normal | 5 | 6,442 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + normal | 10 | 6,420 | -0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + normal | 20 | 6,384 | -0.4pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + normal | 40 | 6,284 | -0.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + normal | 60 | 6,181 | -0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + quiet | 5 | 889 | -0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + quiet | 10 | 888 | -0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + quiet | 20 | 881 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + quiet | 40 | 855 | +0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + quiet | 60 | 839 | +2.0pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + surging | 5 | 122 | -0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + surging | 10 | 122 | +0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + surging | 20 | 122 | +0.8pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + surging | 40 | 122 | +0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | extended + surging | 60 | 119 | +0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + elevated | 5 | 593 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + elevated | 10 | 592 | +0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + elevated | 20 | 584 | +0.8pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + elevated | 40 | 574 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + elevated | 60 | 567 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + normal | 5 | 7,066 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + normal | 10 | 7,018 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + normal | 20 | 6,905 | -0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + normal | 40 | 6,734 | -0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + normal | 60 | 6,608 | -1.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + quiet | 5 | 876 | -0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + quiet | 10 | 873 | -0.6pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + quiet | 20 | 860 | -0.8pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + quiet | 40 | 825 | -0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + quiet | 60 | 802 | -0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + surging | 5 | 107 | -1.0pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + surging | 10 | 106 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + surging | 20 | 106 | -0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + surging | 40 | 106 | -2.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | neutral + surging | 60 | 101 | -1.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + elevated | 5 | 532 | +0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + elevated | 10 | 526 | +0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + elevated | 20 | 526 | +1.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + elevated | 40 | 521 | +2.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + elevated | 60 | 514 | +1.8pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + normal | 5 | 4,328 | +0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + normal | 10 | 4,315 | +0.5pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + normal | 20 | 4,280 | +0.9pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + normal | 40 | 4,206 | +1.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + normal | 60 | 4,127 | +2.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + quiet | 5 | 752 | -0.4pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + quiet | 10 | 752 | -0.7pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + quiet | 20 | 743 | -1.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + quiet | 40 | 742 | -1.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + quiet | 60 | 726 | +0.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + surging | 5 | 176 | +0.9pp | Small possible pattern |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + surging | 10 | 176 | +1.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + surging | 20 | 176 | +0.8pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + surging | 40 | 174 | +2.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | stretched + surging | 60 | 172 | +2.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + elevated | 5 | 660 | +0.4pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + elevated | 10 | 657 | +0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + elevated | 20 | 649 | +0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + elevated | 40 | 631 | +1.0pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + elevated | 60 | 614 | +0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + normal | 5 | 5,279 | +0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + normal | 10 | 5,226 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + normal | 20 | 5,156 | +0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + normal | 40 | 4,997 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + normal | 60 | 4,814 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + quiet | 5 | 601 | -0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + quiet | 10 | 599 | -0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + quiet | 20 | 592 | -0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + quiet | 40 | 579 | -0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + quiet | 60 | 567 | +2.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + surging | 5 | 129 | +0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + surging | 10 | 129 | +2.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + surging | 20 | 128 | +2.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + surging | 40 | 126 | +2.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×trading activity | unextended + surging | 60 | 120 | +3.8pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · calm | 5 | 327 | +0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · calm | 10 | 327 | -0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · calm | 20 | 327 | -0.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · calm | 40 | 327 | -2.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · calm | 60 | 327 | -1.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · turbulent | 5 | 509 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · turbulent | 10 | 509 | -0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · turbulent | 20 | 509 | -0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · turbulent | 40 | 509 | -1.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + downtrend · turbulent | 60 | 509 | -2.9pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · calm | 5 | 6,983 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · calm | 10 | 6,958 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · calm | 20 | 6,912 | -0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · calm | 40 | 6,782 | -0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · calm | 60 | 6,645 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · turbulent | 5 | 238 | -0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · turbulent | 10 | 238 | -0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · turbulent | 20 | 238 | -1.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · turbulent | 40 | 238 | -4.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | extended + uptrend · turbulent | 60 | 238 | -4.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · calm | 5 | 449 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · calm | 10 | 449 | +0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · calm | 20 | 449 | -0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · calm | 40 | 449 | -0.8pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · calm | 60 | 449 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · turbulent | 5 | 732 | +0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · turbulent | 10 | 732 | +0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · turbulent | 20 | 732 | -0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · turbulent | 40 | 732 | -3.0pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + downtrend · turbulent | 60 | 732 | -6.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · calm | 5 | 7,266 | -0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · calm | 10 | 7,213 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · calm | 20 | 7,079 | -0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · calm | 40 | 6,863 | -0.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · calm | 60 | 6,702 | -1.0pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · turbulent | 5 | 195 | -0.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · turbulent | 10 | 195 | -1.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · turbulent | 20 | 195 | -1.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · turbulent | 40 | 195 | -1.9pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | neutral + uptrend · turbulent | 60 | 195 | -0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · calm | 5 | 169 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · calm | 10 | 169 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · calm | 20 | 169 | +0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · calm | 40 | 169 | +5.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · calm | 60 | 169 | +8.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · turbulent | 5 | 250 | -1.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · turbulent | 10 | 250 | -1.9pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · turbulent | 20 | 250 | -0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · turbulent | 40 | 250 | +0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + downtrend · turbulent | 60 | 250 | +1.9pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · calm | 5 | 5,278 | +0.2pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · calm | 10 | 5,259 | +0.4pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · calm | 20 | 5,215 | +0.7pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · calm | 40 | 5,133 | +1.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · calm | 60 | 5,029 | +1.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · turbulent | 5 | 91 | +1.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · turbulent | 10 | 91 | +3.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · turbulent | 20 | 91 | +5.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · turbulent | 40 | 91 | +9.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | stretched + uptrend · turbulent | 60 | 91 | +7.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · calm | 5 | 709 | -0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · calm | 10 | 709 | -0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · calm | 20 | 709 | +0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · calm | 40 | 709 | +0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · calm | 60 | 709 | -1.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · turbulent | 5 | 1,275 | +0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · turbulent | 10 | 1,275 | +0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · turbulent | 20 | 1,275 | +0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · turbulent | 40 | 1,275 | +2.0pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + downtrend · turbulent | 60 | 1,275 | +4.5pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · calm | 5 | 4,493 | +0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · calm | 10 | 4,435 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · calm | 20 | 4,349 | -0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · calm | 40 | 4,157 | -0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · calm | 60 | 3,939 | -0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · turbulent | 5 | 192 | +0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · turbulent | 10 | 192 | +0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · turbulent | 20 | 192 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · turbulent | 40 | 192 | +2.7pp | Not enough examples |
| price vs trend×market conditions | unextended + uptrend · turbulent | 60 | 192 | +2.8pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · calm | 5 | 154 | +0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · calm | 10 | 154 | +1.2pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · calm | 20 | 154 | +2.4pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · calm | 40 | 154 | +5.7pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · calm | 60 | 154 | +6.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · turbulent | 5 | 262 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · turbulent | 10 | 262 | -0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · turbulent | 20 | 262 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · turbulent | 40 | 262 | +0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + downtrend · turbulent | 60 | 262 | +1.7pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · calm | 5 | 1,942 | +0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · calm | 10 | 1,930 | +0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · calm | 20 | 1,911 | +0.5pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · calm | 40 | 1,874 | +0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · calm | 60 | 1,828 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · turbulent | 5 | 31 | +2.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · turbulent | 10 | 31 | +3.9pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · turbulent | 20 | 31 | +4.7pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · turbulent | 40 | 31 | +5.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | elevated + uptrend · turbulent | 60 | 31 | +4.1pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · calm | 5 | 1,352 | -0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · calm | 10 | 1,352 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · calm | 20 | 1,352 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · calm | 40 | 1,352 | -0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · calm | 60 | 1,352 | -0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · turbulent | 5 | 2,063 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · turbulent | 10 | 2,063 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · turbulent | 20 | 2,063 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · turbulent | 40 | 2,063 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + downtrend · turbulent | 60 | 2,063 | -1.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · calm | 5 | 19,145 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · calm | 10 | 19,009 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · calm | 20 | 18,755 | +0.0pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · calm | 40 | 18,251 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · calm | 60 | 17,760 | -0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · turbulent | 5 | 555 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · turbulent | 10 | 555 | -0.5pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · turbulent | 20 | 555 | -0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · turbulent | 40 | 555 | -0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | normal + uptrend · turbulent | 60 | 555 | -0.2pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · calm | 5 | 120 | +0.5pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · calm | 10 | 120 | +1.2pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · calm | 20 | 120 | +0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · calm | 40 | 120 | -1.6pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · calm | 60 | 120 | -1.8pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · turbulent | 5 | 397 | +0.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · turbulent | 10 | 397 | -0.1pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · turbulent | 20 | 397 | -0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · turbulent | 40 | 397 | +0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + downtrend · turbulent | 60 | 397 | +3.6pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · calm | 5 | 2,482 | -0.3pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · calm | 10 | 2,476 | -0.6pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · calm | 20 | 2,440 | -0.8pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · calm | 40 | 2,365 | -0.4pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · calm | 60 | 2,298 | +0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · turbulent | 5 | 119 | +0.5pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · turbulent | 10 | 119 | +0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · turbulent | 20 | 119 | +0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · turbulent | 40 | 119 | +0.3pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | quiet + uptrend · turbulent | 60 | 119 | -0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · calm | 5 | 28 | +3.2pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · calm | 10 | 28 | +2.4pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · calm | 20 | 28 | +0.8pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · calm | 40 | 28 | -4.7pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · calm | 60 | 28 | -5.4pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · turbulent | 5 | 44 | -0.9pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · turbulent | 10 | 44 | +0.5pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · turbulent | 20 | 44 | +2.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · turbulent | 40 | 44 | +3.1pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + downtrend · turbulent | 60 | 44 | +4.0pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · calm | 5 | 451 | +0.1pp | No dependable advantage |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · calm | 10 | 450 | +0.8pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · calm | 20 | 449 | +0.6pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · calm | 40 | 445 | +0.7pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · calm | 60 | 429 | +1.6pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · turbulent | 5 | 11 | +3.2pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · turbulent | 10 | 11 | +6.8pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · turbulent | 20 | 11 | +6.4pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · turbulent | 40 | 11 | +14.8pp | Not enough examples |
| trading activity×market conditions | surging + uptrend · turbulent | 60 | 11 | +8.9pp | Not enough examples |
Each reading is compared with all tracked names on the same days and over the same time horizon—not with zero, because in a rising market almost everything appears to work. Readings for one stock overlap, so the independent-sample estimate is observations divided by the time horizon. Below 30 estimated independent observations, the answer is "insufficient evidence". A difference below the published minimum (5s: 0.50pp · 10s: 0.75pp · 20s: 1.00pp · 40s: 1.50pp · 60s: 2.00pp) is "no measurable edge"; if the average and the typical result point in opposite directions, the answer is "mixed". The tested questions and the 20-session headline horizon were fixed before seeing the results. The page avoids p-values because overlapping windows, stocks moving together on the same day, and today's survivor-only roster do not support that level of precision.