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The published record
Each briefing is written after a completed research review and never edited afterwards. Quiet periods are part of the record: a week with nothing to say is shown as a week with nothing to say, not hidden.
1 briefing
15 briefings
No 8/10-or-higher idea was killed, closed, or moved across the bar, and no new 8/10 idea opened. The high-conviction book was reaffirmed rather than expanded. AVGO stayed at 8/10 because the live 3m test remains the Sept. 2 fiscal Q3 call,…
No 8/10-or-higher thesis was killed, closed, newly opened, or moved across the bar. The research maintained the high-conviction set after checking for post-review breaks. AVGO stayed at 8/10 because Broadcom's Q2 release still supports the…
No kills, closes, bar crossings, or new 8/10+ ideas were recorded. The 8/10+ set stayed intact: AVGO, MU, INSW, CCJ, NOW, BBIO, META, RARE, NXT, TLN, and MLYS. The concrete confirmations were concentrated in primary baselines: AVGO still f…
The 8/10 shortlist held intact with no new ideas opened, no kills, and no conviction crossing through the bar. AVGO stayed at 8/10 for the 3m horizon because the fiscal Q3 catalyst remains September 2, 2026 after close, with the thesis sti…
No 8/10-or-better idea was killed, closed, downgraded below the bar, or newly added. The high-conviction shortlist stayed intact after fresh checks of the dated catalysts and invalidation triggers.
No 8/10-or-better idea was killed or closed. Four new 1-year longs cleared the bar: RARE, MLYS, TLN and NXT. RARE opened at 8/10 after Q2 revenue of $214M, reaffirmed 2026 revenue guidance of $730M-$760M, a 2027 profitability path, GENGLYC…
Three new ideas opened at the 8/10 bar, all on a 1y horizon:
MU upgraded to 9/10. Micron's Q3 FY2026 call (June 24) confirmed HBM is sold out not just through 2026 but through all of calendar 2027 — price and volume locked. HBM4 entered high-volume shipments for the lead customer on schedule. Q3 res…
Steady-state pulse. No kills, no closes, and no bar crossings. All four shortlist names — AVGO, MU, INSW, and CCJ — were affirmed at conviction 8. No new ideas were opened.
Still current through 19 later reviews
The book leans harder into electrification this week. Both energy ideas opened this run (CCJ, GEV) share one driver — AI data-center power demand — so treat them as a correlated pair when sizing, not as two independent bets.
INSW crossed the 8/10 bar. International Seaways reported record Q2 2026 results: net income $295M, adjusted EBITDA $345M, EPS $5.91 beat, and blended spot TCE reached $79,000/day versus $27,500/day a year ago — a near-3× rate improvement.…
AVGO crosses the 8/10 bar. Conviction moved from 7 to 8 after CEO Hock Tan publicly reiterated the FY2027 AI revenue guide of >$100B on Aug 11, 2026 (Yahoo Finance/Motley Fool). The decisive data point: Q2 FY2026 bookings exceeded $30B aga…
MU — Conviction Upgraded to 8 (highest tier). Fiscal Q3 2026 results were historic: $41.46B revenue (+346% YoY), 84.6% gross margin, $25.11 EPS — beating consensus by ~24% and setting quarterly records on every line. Q4 is guided to $50.0B…
Three conviction upgrades and no kills — the portfolio is tightening, not widening.
1. What changed this run. This deep sweep opened 10 new ideas across four sectors. There were no re-reviews, no kills, no conviction changes on existing ideas, no duplicates flagged, and no watchlist moves — all activity is fresh opens.
Record runs from Aug 11, 2026 to Sep 2, 2026.